Egypt’s decision to become part of the AU Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM) marks a pivotal step in strengthening the ties between two nations with deep historical and cultural connections. Both Egypt and Somalia share membership in the African Union and the Arab League, are maritime nations with strategic sea routes, and have a longstanding relationship rooted in mutual respect and cooperation. This partnership has the potential to reshape regional security dynamics and promote peace in Somalia, especially amid shared challenges posed by regional actors.
Shared Threats and Common Interests
Egypt and Somalia face similar security threats, particularly from Ethiopia. Ethiopia’s unilateral actions concerning Nile water management pose significant risks to Egypt’s water security. Simultaneously, Ethiopia’s interference in Somali sovereignty has exacerbated regional tensions. In this context, the deployment of Egyptian troops to Somalia can serve as a strategic counterbalance to Ethiopia’s influence while addressing Somalia’s urgent need for enhanced security and stability.
Ethiopia’s illegal and short-short sighted ambitions to take advantage of Somalia’s situation and gain access to the Red Sea by breaking all international rules, norms and regulations pose a significant threat to all maritime countries bordering this vital waterway. This development underscores the importance of collective action to neutralize such destabilizing moves. Protecting the sovereignty and interests of Red Sea nations, including Somalia and Egypt, must remain a top priority.
Strategic Deployment Areas
Egyptian forces can play a crucial role in securing Somalia’s territorial integrity and achieving lasting peace. Key areas for deployment include:
- Somalia-Ethiopia Border Towns:
- Baled Hawa, Luq, Wajid, and Dolow are critical border towns in the Gedo region and Bay and Bakol regions. Deploying Egyptian forces in these areas would:
- Reinforce Somalia’s sovereignty by deterring external interference.
- Provide stability in regions vulnerable to cross-border militant activities.
- Strengthen Somalia’s ability to control its borders, a key step toward national reconciliation and governance.
- Baled Hawa, Luq, Wajid, and Dolow are critical border towns in the Gedo region and Bay and Bakol regions. Deploying Egyptian forces in these areas would:
- Airports in Gedo Region and South West State:
- Strategic airports in these regions serve as vital hubs for humanitarian aid, logistical operations, and economic recovery. Egyptian troops can secure these facilities, ensuring uninterrupted operations and preventing them from falling into militant control.
- Somali Navy in the Red Sea:
- Joint patrols between Egyptian and Somali naval forces in the Red Sea would:
- Deter potential infringements by Ethiopia on Somalia’s maritime borders.
- Combat the influx of Daesh and other terrorist groups that exploit unregulated sea routes to infiltrate Somalia, particularly from the northern regions of Somaliland to the south.
- Protect vital sea lanes, fostering economic growth and regional stability.
- Joint patrols between Egyptian and Somali naval forces in the Red Sea would:
Building Capacity Through Collaboration
To ensure the success of this mission, Egypt and Somalia must prioritize joint training programs and the modernization of Somalia’s armed forces. Key initiatives include:
- Military Training: Egyptian and Somali forces can conduct joint exercises focusing on counter-insurgency, urban warfare, and border security, enhancing interoperability and readiness.
- Modern Equipment: Egypt’s expertise in modern warfare can be leveraged to equip Somali forces with advanced weaponry and technology, enabling them to address emerging threats effectively.
- Intelligence Sharing: Establishing robust intelligence networks will help preempt and neutralize threats posed by extremist groups like Al-Shabaab and Daesh.
A Vision for Regional Stability
Egypt’s involvement in Somalia goes beyond military objectives. By supporting Somalia’s efforts to restore peace and governance, Egypt reaffirms its commitment to African unity and cooperation. This partnership can serve as a model for addressing shared challenges through collective action and mutual support.
The deployment of Egyptian forces in Somalia represents a win-win scenario. It bolsters Somalia’s sovereignty, strengthens regional security, and counters the destabilizing influence of external actors like Ethiopia. Together, Egypt and Somalia can pave the way for a more stable and prosperous Horn of Africa that will contribute to regional and global peace and stability.
